Currency Currents - Black Swan Capital

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The top is in place? Bear market has begun?

October 26, 2018, 4:47 am

We prepared this chart several months ago showing a potential five-wave move in SPY targeting to 292…well, so far so good (for bears). This may be the top and the start of a nasty bear market.

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Soybeans looking interesting...confirming dollar weakness? Hmmm...

November 1, 2018, 6:51 am

Soybeans (Jan ‘19)…240-min view…impulse down complete? US Dollar Index into our target zone…turning down?

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Elliott Wave Counts EUR/USD, AUD/USD, USD/JPY from 30 Oct 2018

November 1, 2018, 10:19 am

The dollar bear, or major pair bull, view playing out so far today…30 October 2018 EUR/USD EW Detail30 October 2018 AUD/USD EW Detail30 October 2018 USD/JPY EW Detail

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Black Swan Forex Track Record October 2018: Summary & Detail

November 3, 2018, 9:09 am

We had a nice month overall; though our winning percentage faded later in the month. But it is about how much money you make, not the distributions of wins and loses. We play our edge and grind it out...

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SPY rallying into our target zone

November 7, 2018, 8:25 am

SPY rallying off of last nights election results….coming into our target zone…stay tuned.

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Looking for oil bottom: Demark Sequential 9-day Setup

November 8, 2018, 5:52 am

Tom DeMark sequential 9-day setup after a price flip. We are now on day 8.

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China stocks hit again this morning...US yields cross-over soon?

November 9, 2018, 4:22 am

We’ve been tracking this chart, showing the correlation between Chinese stocks, the yuan, and yield spread (with the US). The incentive to keep hot money in China fades as the US spread gains. We don’t...

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US Dollar Index Versus Oil Weekly View

November 25, 2018, 10:56 am

Below is a look at the US dollar versus Oil. We have been wrong on oil. And it now appears a major top is in place at Wave A. We are expecting the old correlation of strong dollar-weak oil, and vice...

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USD/EUR vs. Italy-German 10-year Spread

December 3, 2018, 7:10 am

Italy is still a MAJOR concern for the eurozone; Italian bond spreads relative to Germany are off their highs (327 basis points) and down to 281 basis points (by no means out of the woods). Note the...

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EUR/USD 30-min setup....hmmm...

December 6, 2018, 9:07 am

EUR/USD 30-min: Daily trend still down...but maybe a minor impulse setup to push the pair above 1.1420 resistance...confidence in this market is moderate at best.

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